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Predicting published news effect in the Brazilian stock market
Abstract:

The Efficient Market Hypothesis states that the value of an asset is given by all information available in the present moment. However, there is no possibility that a single financial analyst be aware of all published news which refers to a collection of stocks in the moment they are published. Thus, a computer system that applies text mining techniques and the GARCH model for predicting the volatility of financial assets may helps analysts and simple investors classifying automatically the news which cause the higher impact on stock market behavior. This work has the goal of creating a method for analyzing Portuguese written news’s content about companies that have their stocks negotiated in a stock market and trying to predict what kind of effect these news will cause in the Brazilian stock market behavior. Also, it was demonstrate in this study that it is possible to find out whether certain news may cause a considerabl impact on prices of a negotiated stock.

Keywords: Text mining Volatility forecast Stock market News effect
Author(s): .
Source: Expert Systems with Applications 39 (2012) 10674–10680
Subject: مدیریت مالی
Category: مقاله مجله
Release Date: 2012
No of Pages: 7
Price(Tomans): 0
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