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A fuzzy rule based expert system for stock evaluation and portfolio construction: An application to Istanbul Stock Exchange
Abstract:

The aim of this study is to construct appropriate portfolios by taking investor’s preferences and risk profile into account in a realistic, flexible and practical manner. In this concern, a fuzzy rule based expert system is developed to support portfolio managers in their middle term investment decisions. The proposed expert system is validated by using the data of 61 stocks that publicly traded in Istanbul Stock Exchange National-100 Index from the years 2002 through 2010. The performance of the proposed system is analyzed in comparison with the benchmark index, Istanbul Stock Exchange National-30 Index, in terms of different risk profiles and investment period lengths. The results reveal that the performance of the proposed expert system is superior relative to the benchmark index in most cases. Additionally, in parallel to our expectations, the performance of the expert system is relatively higher in case of riskaverse investor profile and middle term investment period than the performance observed in the other cases

Keywords: Portfolio management Stock evaluation Expert systems Fuzzy logic Istanbul Stock Exchange
Author(s): .
Source: Expert Systems with Applications 40 (2013) 908–920
Subject: مدیریت مالی
Category: مقاله مجله
Release Date: 2013
No of Pages: 13
Price(Tomans): 0
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