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Comparative analysis of data mining methods for bankruptcy prediction
Abstract:
A great deal of research has been devoted to prediction of bankruptcy, to include application of data mining.Neural networks, support vector machines, and other algorithms often fit data well, but because of lack ofcomprehensibility, they are considered black box technologies. Conversely, decision trees are more comprehensibleby human users. However, sometimes far too many rules result in another form of incomprehensibility.The number of rules obtained from decision tree algorithms can be controlled to some degree throughsetting different minimum support levels. This study applies a variety of data mining tools to bankruptcydata, with the purpose of comparing accuracy and number of rules. For this data, decision trees were foundto be relatively more accurate compared to neural networks and support vector machines, but there were more rule nodes than desired. Adjustment of minimum support yielded more tractable rule sets.
Keywords: Bankruptcy prediction Data mining Neural networks Decision trees Support vector machines Transparency Transportability
Author(s): David L. Olson , Dursun Delen , Yanyan Meng
Source: Decision Support Systems 52 (2012) 464–473
Subject: مدیریت مالی
Category: مقاله مجله
Release Date: 2012
No of Pages: 10
Price(Tomans): 0
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